Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.021512 0.025081 0.029020 0.033684 0.039051 0.045028 0.052183
2025-10-26 0.015546 0.019999 0.025376 0.032326 0.041051 0.051617 0.065360
2025-11-02 0.011565 0.016228 0.022319 0.030817 0.042314 0.057272 0.078141
2025-11-09 0.008978 0.013614 0.020112 0.029807 0.043813 0.063201 0.091939
2025-11-16 0.007343 0.011938 0.018795 0.029654 0.046273 0.070563 0.108509
2025-11-23 0.005952 0.010321 0.017230 0.028787 0.047430 0.076051 0.122931
2025-11-30 0.005301 0.009737 0.017120 0.030079 0.051971 0.087051 0.146918
2025-12-07 0.004553 0.008836 0.016322 0.030080 0.054353 0.094847 0.166660
2025-12-14 0.003799 0.007779 0.015069 0.029072 0.054829 0.099476 0.181593
2025-12-21 0.003278 0.007055 0.014288 0.028759 0.056421 0.106091 0.200548
2025-12-28 0.003061 0.006890 0.014516 0.030337 0.061628 0.119583 0.233071
2026-01-04 0.002795 0.006575 0.014397 0.031209 0.065574 0.131161 0.263268
2026-01-11 0.002386 0.005885 0.013431 0.030276 0.065941 0.136212 0.282047
2026-01-18 0.002089 0.005391 0.012799 0.029946 0.067478 0.143687 0.306357
2026-01-25 0.001789 0.004834 0.011940 0.028991 0.067572 0.148282 0.325414
2026-02-01 0.001550 0.004377 0.011233 0.028263 0.068044 0.153668 0.346632
2026-02-08 0.001386 0.004080 0.010853 0.028233 0.070050 0.162467 0.375910
2026-02-15 0.001204 0.003700 0.010207 0.027462 0.070245 0.167350 0.397215
2026-02-22 0.001144 0.003645 0.010375 0.028730 0.075412 0.183791 0.445749
2026-03-01 0.001033 0.003423 0.010070 0.028746 0.077537 0.193533 0.480097
2026-03-08 0.000897 0.003097 0.009431 0.027788 0.077106 0.197277 0.500946
2026-03-15 0.000802 0.002879 0.009059 0.027493 0.078325 0.205057 0.532099
2026-03-22 0.000778 0.002883 0.009323 0.029007 0.084487 0.225481 0.595755